Although well known, people's forecasts of day-to-day experiences do not accurately reflect reality. Specifically, forecasted eating happiness does not accurately display experiences in the moment of consumption. Besides inter-individual differences in forecasting accuracy, the study highlights the impact of dispositional expectations and the pattern and fluctuation of the experience itself on forecasting accuracy.
Villinger, K., Wahl, D. R., König, L. M., Ziesemer, K., Butscher, S., Müller, J., Reiterer, H., Schupp, H. & Renner, B. (2020). Do we know what we enjoy? Accuracy of forecasted eating happiness. Frontiers in Psychology, 11, 1187. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2020.01187